On 8th November 2016, the Government of India took the
bold step of demonetising all ₹500 and ₹1000 banknotes, ceasing the usage of
all these banknotes as a form of legal tender in India. In an effort to stop
the counterfeiting of current banknotes used to fund terrorism, and to control
the black money in the country, the Indian Prime Minister Mr Narendra Modi made
a live address to the nation declaring the usage of ₹500 and ₹1000 banknotes
invalid, and announcing the issue of new ₹500 and ₹2000 banknotes, in a bid to
reduce corruption, terrorism, and drug smuggling.
In the ensuing days, a lot has been written for and against this
move. Although in general, the move to demonetise and thereby hinder black
money was appreciated by the masses, the manner in which it was carried out,
and the hardships caused to the common man has been criticised. It is important
to understand the economics behind this historical move before forming any
further opinion.
Demonetisation is a radical monetary step to invalidate a currency
unit’s status as a legal tender. Such a monumental step is usually taken when
there may be a need to change national currency, for example when the European
Monetary Union nations decided to adopt Euro as their currency. In India’s
case, this is a move to curb corruption and control counterfeiting by reducing
the amount of cash available in the system.
There is no transparency or accountability for a significant amount
of cash flowing through the Indian economy, with the money never entering the
tax system of the county, hurting the Indian economy, and making the honest,
working class Indian suffer. Due to large amounts of unaccounted money in the
economy, the government is unable to collect enough tax revenues, prompting
increasing of taxes, further impacting honest tax paying citizens. Rampant
corruption exists because of a cash economy, as it allows the money to be
unaccountable. Demonetisation may not completely weed out corruption, but it
will enable the system to capture the flow of money.
This historical move is likely to have a significant impact because of being unanticipated, thereby not giving people any time to find means to park their black money. A cashless economy can help curb inflated prices, recapitalise banks, reduce interest rates thereby increasing capital inflow to the economy. Such monumental changes cause their share of inconveniences but recalibrating an entire nation’s economy is no small feat. Currently, only 2.6% of the Indian population pays taxes! The rest either don’t make enough money or siphon it off and bypass taxes. Accountability of the cash flow will help the system identify and keep track of the Indian currency, and control tax evasion. As Prime Minister Modi promised, it is a big leap towards building the “India of our dreams”.
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